john@johnducas.com

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The Economy in 2016

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As a young person, I have a great interest in understanding how the economy performs and what drives movements in the markets. Every year I outline my views on how the economy will pan out the following year.     As per tradition, below is my economic outlook for 2016. 2015 was certainly a lackluster […]

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FEATURED: 2014-2015 Outlook: Why a US stock market correction and European recession might be within proximity (with update)

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  I would like to excuse myself beforehand for the ominous premise of this article (this might ruin your summer). It is important to mention that a few weeks ago I was extremely bullish on markets, especially on equities, but many things changed in the months leading up to June, which have led me to […]

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US & EU: The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership

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  In the Global Economy, trade is one of the main pillars which allows countries to exchange resources and key factors of production to advance their own economic welfare and ensure high rates of development. The European Union and the United States, two of the largest economic superpowers, traded over $700 billion worth of merchandise […]

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Update on Greek Talks

Following the referendum on July 5th where the Greek people overwhelmingly voted against the bailout terms and austerity, special talks were held in both Brussels and in Strasbourg for a Eurosummit with EU leaders and a debate at the European Parliament, respectively. Within both talks, Tsipras appeared to be open and determined to keep Greece in […]

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The Current State of the Greek Economy and of the Eurozone

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  For the past couple of months, Greece has had to deal with austerity measures imposed on it by its creditors. Following the momentous decision by the Greek people to elect the leftward-leaning SYRIZA party which favoured a confrontational stance on the bailout conditions, uncertainty over the future of the country plagued stakeholders on a […]

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Germany’s Economy: Technical, tactical… too late?

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  “We are not in a recession,” the Minister finance Wolfgang Schaeuble told parliament after the 3rd quarterly data was released. Despite being hampered by weakness in the French economy, a main trading partner, and a slowdown in China the German economy displayed enough tenacity enduring long enough to squeeze out fractional growth. Following the […]

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India: An upward battle

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Although the remnants of India’s centrally planned economic system can still be witnessed to this day, huge strides in economic liberalization including measures such as industrial de-regulation, privatisation of enterprises and the laxation of policies concerning foreign investment, since the 1990s, have helped kick start the economy. With the second largest population in the world […]

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China’s Economy: A Glimpse into the Future

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The ever increasing speed and strength of China’s economical transformation has no historical precedent. As the dawn of the 21st century begins to unfold, the global economic and political playing field begins to form; it has become clear that China and its economy will play a major role in affecting the development of the pan-European […]

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XOM: The Oil & Gas Industry in 2014

The United States is in the midst of another oil boom, the biggest in 40 years. These levels of production were last seen towards the end of the 1960s during the biggest US oil boom in history. The United States is on track to overtaking both Saudi Arabia and then Russia as the largest oil […]

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VWO: The Return of Emerging Markets

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Emerging markets, probably one of the most despised sectors in 2013. It has been down roughly 5% since the start of the year; the main factors that caused the slowdown were higher inflation, drops in currency values and mainly a downturn in foreign investment, which was due to the financial crisis.  In this article, I […]

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